Consequences Blog #67 Roadmap for Uncertainty

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So here it is, almost the end of 2021 and having spent the year in social media (relative) reprieve I have enjoyed this quiet space spending time researching the areas that have continued to interest me – all with their foundations in making better decisions in uncertainty.

Although decision making and uncertainty have been the foundations of my curiosity way before any 21stcentury global pandemic scenarios it is an interesting time to be doing such research. My previous topics and fusion between social science and complex adaptive systems theories have now extended to a diverse range of topics ,such as, informed trauma; the relationship between mind and body (psyche-neuro-biology) thus concluding with the creation of a Roadmap for Uncertainty and three superpowers – but more on this later.

For now, my end of year reflection has a key focus on words. Not just any words but words that I seem to be unable to have any conversation, without either saying or hearing them. Unless you have been living under a rock, I believe you may know these words too.

COVID-19; Delta; Omnicom; lockdown (the list is unfortunately growing).

In this Consequences Blog I am presenting these words as a paradox as they force you to be mindful of the present whilst noting and even accepting the uncertainty about your future. (If you have access to Netflix check out a recent film – Don’t Look Up – through satire it describes this paradox even better than words).

This paradoxical relationship with the future is the way it has always been, and therefore makes any setting or decision making based on scarcity/extraction/prediction instead of regeneration (especially when mother nature tells us something different) extremely futile. Having watched a few films of late even the new Matrix film (Resurrections) claims that ‘nothing can breed violence like scarcity’.

This tension has been described within the Consequences Blog since it began in 2015. To explain its indifference, I have referred to an acronym – ADWAG (always doing what always got) and how ADWAG must be prevented if paradigm shifts, and disruptions are to be realised.

Paradigms shifts are not new and albeit in another century at the time of the last global pandemic there were many other forms of disruptions going on. In an article referring to the work of David Potter and edited by Matt Huston (How disruption happen) an example of the changes in Russia of just over 100 years ago were expanded upon.

On 3 April 1917, a crowd gathered to meet a train arriving from Helsinki at Petrograd’s Finland Station. The train carried Vladimir Ilyich Lenin. He greeted his audience with a speech calling for the overthrow of Russia’s government – and, six months later, he made this happen. The world changed.

A little like a global pandemic (shifting from never heard of those words to unable to escape them in any conversation) Lenin’s theory of change was simply based on the shifts or the changes being so radical that no one could go back to how it was before (sound a little familiar?)

Huston did argue that what history can teach you is to be aware of what the circumstances that led you to the disruption are. He concluded by saying – ‘it can make you realise what you might be facing because of the situation you are in today’.

So, this is where the Roadmap for Uncertainty comes into play. I can assure all I haven’t been indulging in the literature of Russian history but what history does present is that you cannot know (predict) what such grand levels of disruption will bring – and this has always been the case.

As part of my research, I have been interested in why humans as a species crave certainty? The literature from early childhood confirms that this dependency goes back to your roots. For the first two years of your life, you do not see yourself as being independent of the main carer/s. For any parents reading this blog this is the reason why your lovely child one day seems to shift almost seamlessly into a tantrum toddler monster. It is through these actions that independence from the carer/s is being formed and individual boundaries are being set – also referred to as attachment theory.

More importantly and as best described through application of this early year’s wisdom within attachment experiences Gabor Mate describes ‘humans as a species in trauma’ and how there is a strong connection between attachment experiences and trauma.

Expanding these insights, I am pleased to share the Roadmap for Uncertainty and the three superpowers in the diagram below:

  • Superpower one: less trauma

Trauma is what happens to you because of what happened to you, and this influences your decision making in uncertainty

  • Superpower two: greater balance

Your personal platform is in constant flow with balance and when interrupted, imbalances impede better decision making, thus increasing intolerance for uncertainty

  • Superpower three: equals better decision making Be the best ancestor you can be and make better decisions in uncertainty

Secrets – what do secrets have to do with a Roadmap for Uncertainty? …. Everything!

For as long as humans have been humans there has always been a tension between making better decisions and uncertainty. A contemporary and simple example of this tension between decision making, uncertainty and secrets can be demonstrated through social media and the tensions that can be found between privacy and open disclosure.

Some reading this blog will be aware of my personal story (we all have a story to share) but having suffered three major brain traumas over my lifetime the research focus of 2021 provided me with greater insights (presented as three superpowers; traumas; balance and decision making in uncertainty). By greater insights, I am also alluding to some secrets that up until now were also secrets to me. In addition, I came to terms that by creating a Roadmap that enabled these learnings may also assist others – particularly others living with brain traumas and of course anyone needing to make better decisions in uncertainty!

Beginning to translate the findings of 2021 and getting ready to enter the social media space again I was most fortunate to be a part of womxnconnect crafted by @Donna McDonald; @Lisa Behan an amazing and uplifting respectful community of women providing a creative and welcoming space for woman to nurture art & cultural practices; relationships with nature & the environment; alliances with women across all cultures.

In recognising the importance of using social media to provide an interface between art and nature Behan noted an important, message around secrets in this time of uncertainty:

Perhaps fear of judgement is at core of all secrets, we can move past this judgement by revealing our secrets to the non-judgemental in our lives.

On this note I plan to conclude the current year of 2021 and start the new year of 2022 with beginning the journey of unlocking and sharing these secrets and crafting my memoir around this Roadmap for Uncertainty.

Being okay about making better decisions means being okay with uncertainty

Happy new year all and may 2022 be full of words that share your story to embrace uncertainty!

Consequences –Dr Jayne Meyer Tucker, aka DrJMT is a social engineer and helps humans and organisations make #betterdecisions during uncertainty. Drawing on her global experiences in social transformation and her PhD research exploring the systemic tension between structure (governance) and spontaneity (leadership), Jayne has created the Balance Point – a transformative philosophy to make #betterdecisions within a framework to STRADDLEuncertainty with relationship building and decision-making traits that make #betterdecisions the E.A.S.Y Way. Jayne has worked in Executive Board/CEO and consultancy roles with several NGO’s, corporate and government agencies in Australia and internationally.

References

Potter, D (2021) Disruption why things change University of Michigan USA

Mate, G (2021) Wisdom of Trauma Film Science & Nonduality by Maurizio and Zaya Beneazzo

 

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